Can America Get Beyond the Three Stooges Approach to Job Creation and Reach a Higher Plane of Solutions?

Listening to all the barking at parked cars is becoming exhausting for all Americans. If what we all desire is a safe, comfortable life, and productive, good paying jobs are our way of achieving this goal, does anyone wonder why no one in government has yet recommended material solutions?

Is our nation really going to accept the Larry, Curly, and Moe alternate solutions that have been presented thus far as our only hope going into the 2012 elections? Are the Republicans really going to stick by their mantra of no government intervention after having participated in the government intervention that optimized the way forward for our banks and multinational corporations to mine America’s wealth for the Great Extraction to the East? Are Democrats really going to bring forward enormous government largesse to create makeshift government jobs as a temporary band aid, when America is already being punished by the international financial market for grossly expanding our government employee base? Is the current administration going to continue to pursue wimpy programs that on their face seem rational, but as implemented are so lackluster as to only support more wealth transfer to the weakest in our society without affecting any real support for a revitalized economy?

If we continue to bicker about our pet peeves, the flees on the dog, without dealing with the fact that the dog has been put out of the house, and will not be let back in until it brings forth a collectively supportable plan, America will get the flee bitten, dog house solution it deserves. But do we really deserve such a fate? Can we not together find a way forward to put all Americans back to work?

Certainly the solution rests in the vast middle plane, a best methods approach, an approach which has been absent in Washington for a great many years. The Democrats and Republicans have denigrated into looking at solutions which are compromise at best. They see the solution set as linear, a thick tug of war rope with alternately competing solutions, with each of the parties attempting to pull the little red flag tied to the middle of the rope toward their side.

After each successive election, the winning party having pulled the rope a little bit in their direction, attempt to implement their full set of solutions as if the flag were triumphantly pulled completely into the midst of their camp. Of course, as soon as the American public gets them home to the next election, they disapprovingly spank them for having acted like arrogant and selfish children.

What is needed is to have both parties see the solution set as at least having two dimensions, a great plane with an x and y axis. At the origin of the plane, the intersection of the x and y axis, both parties get nothing of what they want. However, as the solution pushes farther up both the x and the y axis, both parties get more and more of what each other want without having to compromise at all, a win-win solution.

In the context of jobs, the win-win solution is that America is fully employed, government is an active participant but not a director of the economy, social welfare is supported but not extended, entitlements are decreased, no additional agency is formed, no bureaucracy lives on indefinitely, no shift of electorate power is extended to either party for having implemented a solution that helps all of America, domestic businesses are supported without helping them to send jobs overseas, the rich increase their riches, the poor are protected, and the middle class is secure.

Can such a win-win solution be achieved without it being caught up in the rope pulling? Only if a paradigm shift can occur in the American consciousness will we be able to overcome the partisan bickering that is incentivized by political power struggles, inflamed by media hype, and financed by the remunerated elites. However, if necessity is the mother of invention, then crisis can be the father of epiphany.

So the solution that I have been writing about for the last nine months takes these issues into account and attempts to find that win-win solution as far out on the great plane as possible. The program essentially gives all unemployed a job voucher that lets them work for a small domestic company at the same rate of pay they would receive on unemployment benefits, but the benefits pass through the employer as an incentive to hire them. You can find many aspects of my thoughts here on my blog http://www.jobvoucherplan.com but in essence of it is thus.

•All Americans employed – each unemployed person is entitled to a job voucher, a golden ticket if you will. This voucher allows any qualifying business to hire them essentially free of having to pay the wage. Other overhead costs such as work desks, phones etc. are borne by the business.

•The Government is an active participant – Recognizing that the capitalist economy has a concentration of wealth flaw that breaks the economy every 50 to 70 years of so, the government does not wait to have a broken economy heal itself.

•The Government does not direct the economy – The job voucher program allows the invisible hand of millions in the economy to decide what the highest and best use of our work force will be, not just some inefficient, centralized but well meaning government bureaucracy.

•Social welfare is not extended – This program does not extend unemployment benefits but expects all able Americans to work and to contribute toward putting America back on its feet.

•No additional agency is formed – The program is managed by existing unemployment offices. Their work is somewhat changed now that the unemployed are actually obtaining jobs.

•No bureaucracy lives on – The program builds in unemployment level milestones for drawing down the program.

•No shift of electorate power – No entitlement is created by this program that indebts individuals to any one party.

•Domestic businesses are supported without helping them to send jobs overseas – Job vouchers aid small domestic businesses that have been recently cut off from commercial credit, but are not available to MNCs.

•The rich increase their riches – The program stays in place as long as needed so that a consistent economy can be counted on to boost consumer confidence and sustain the beginnings of a new business cycle. More workers producing means more consumers available to consume, boosting profits.

•The poor can be protected – If more tax payers can be added to the tax base and the economy can begin once again to grow, deep austerity measures that would only further exacerbate our nation’s social problems can be abated.

•The middle class is secure – A growing, competitive, producing economy protects America’s financial security also supports funding of our national security.

This solution set, this extension into the frontier of the great plane is only part of the complete set of solutions that can be achieved once our nation breaks free of its tug of war mentality. We can then put each problem on its own plane, each spinning round the same origin, and now we have a set of solutions on an x-y-z three dimensional axis where the frontier lies on the surface of a great sphere. What seemingly is a set of solutions at the extremities of our political consciousness is actually the result achieved when America sets about to find within its great middle, the best that can support our collective future.

Ironically, Trickle Down Economics Trickled Down America’s Future

America is a land of irony. We are filled with capitalists whose intent is to accumulate all the wealth the world has to offer, and at the same time, we also have an altruistic nature that tears at our capitalistic infrastructure. We defend our great society and fund outreach to other nations through our tax dollars. We support our dreams of a united earth through a funding of the United Nations and fund our version of world peace through 1,000 military bases dispersed throughout the world. To grow our middle class, for the past thirty years we have supplied enrichment to our upper class to have it trickle down.

Supply side economics is an irony of political invention as well. Its invention of thought intended to provide extra capital to America’s private sector, the sector that creates taxpaying, productive jobs that extends America’s know how, innovation, skills, and gross domestic product. In our world’s current economic system, when a venture is started, some seed capital that has been accumulated by the world’s elite is then combined with borrowed money created from thin air by banks through the venture’s promise to repay. This devised modern structure of government and banking thus provides the investment needed to fund the venture’s infrastructure and start up expenses, including the financial support for job creation.

The wealthier of our country are those that have traditionally been able to accumulate more money than they need to fund their daily expenses, and thus they have provided the seed capital for ventures through their investments. Instead of the entrepreneurs that risk all to build real wealth and create the jobs, Supply Side economics instead provides tax incentives to the wealthy, ironically giving credit to the capital providers for producing America’s jobs. However, capitalism knows no patriotic allegiance. Investment capital will flow to the highest risk adjusted returns regardless of national borders.

After America’s obsessive military buildup made international investments safer, international business became safer investments in the sixties. Opportunities grew wildly after China opened its borders to investment in 1978, creating a gold rush that attracted loose investment capital from the entire world, building tens of thousands of factories that enriched international investors dearly.

So when Reagan Supply Sider legislators passed tax breaks to the “rich”, their trickledown theory wasn’t wrong, it was just decades late in adjusting to the realities of risk adjusted investment opportunity. Ironically, instead of trickle down, America’s tax policy resulted in pouring out, not a trickle but a fire hose gushing toward foreign shores. Trillions of dollars, created by burdening our middle class with excessive debt, left our economy and were converted into factories and other infrastructure such as roadways, bridges, and cargo ships to enhance China’s economy and to increase their employment base.

It appeared at least temporarily that America profited from our supply side doctrine. An entire industry was born to find ways to collect the extra capital and distribute it to the East. America surely got interim jobs in the financial sector to support this fire hose of foreign directed money flow. Yet, decreasing taxes for the “rich” created much fewer permanent jobs in America than it could have, passing the greater load of jobs to the East. It provided America interim financial and deal flow processing while accomplishing the opposite effect than was hoped for to America’s real economic future.

Ironically, Trickle Down Economics Trickled Down America’s Future…page 2 of 2….Worse, when those permanent jobs left our shores, so did decades of investment in our schools and education that every American has paid for through our contract with America. Each of us has voted to contribute thousands of dollars to our school systems to educate our youth. We do not publicly fund our educational system out of altruism. Americans understand that in educating our youth, they will learn the lessons provided by educated Americans before them. They will carry forward the knowledge that grows in our businesses to learn new theories and methods and to discover new scientific breakthroughs that will extend American technical capabilities. We invest in our children to grow our country’s GDP and to support both those that have come before in their turn at retirement and those that will come after who will raise their families in freedom and who will extend our great country’s experiment in democracy.

Ironically, beyond those trade secrets and innovations that are deemed highly responsible for national security, America does not have a policy about those innovations created in America that have been funded by at least 12 years of public schooling if not more through Pell grants, student loans, state school subsidies and other methods. America has an equity stake in every innovation created by Americans and yet we let them go as freely as we let our commodities be dug up from our patch of earth and be sold out from under us through private, foreign country based businesses operating mines on our public lands today.

However, the greatest irony is yet to come. In letting our capital be funneled to China, in letting our jobs transfer to her, in freely handing over our trade secrets, our innovations, and our scientific breakthroughs, we have transferred decades of core skill and national wealth building capability that will now build in China and not in America. The tax base that would have supported our great society social needs will now support those of China. The extra funds that could have supported our government’s international outreach will now support hers. Our altruistic capability will diminish purely from our trickle down tax policies.

And the great investments that our capitalists hope will provide gold rush returns from the trillions of dollars of investment extracted from the debts of all Americans, turns out they may be the greatest Ponzi of the 20th century. Those trillions of dollars now rest on China’s soil as hard assets. They cannot be dug up from the earth and planted back in America. The financial returns that investors hope for count on China remaining strong to honor her commitments. If China defaults, no one will travel to China and take a piece of the infrastructure back home. There is no international bankruptcy court that can enforce repossessment or repayment.

China’s ability to produce repayments of direct foreign investments depends on America’s ability to stay solvent and to continue buying Chinese goods, yet our solvency rests close to the precipice. If our current economic crisis is thrust off the cliff by short sided, self seeking politicians, America’s default will lead to China’s default and all the profits that our investors dreamed of receiving will disappear in the crash. The underlying assets and intellectual capital that transferred to China in the 20th century gold rush will remain there for China’s eventual rapid recovery while the trickle down and fire hosed out financial capital that left America’s shores will have ironically vanished with our gold strike dreams.

Are Tariffs a Strategy for World Peace?

War with China may be inevitable. When EurAmerican multinational corporations (MNCs) were allowed by our governments to trade trade secrets in exchange for opening of Asian markets, they may have sealed the world’s fate. China’s output will soon surpass America’s and her rate of growth continues to far outpace ours. She is implementing strategies that promise to replace America as the World’s empire during the next 15 years.

Every transition in history from one empire to another has been accented by great wars. The transition of the last empire was no exception. Great Britain did not acquiesce to America’s century until after the throws of WWI and WWII. Now the rapid ascent of globalization, made possible by the transfer of capital from international bankers to MNCs, has driven the world to the edge of another conflict in our lifetimes.

During the last transition, Germany, racked with debt from WWI, experienced hyperinflation with an impotent republic led by political extremists. While the rest of the world recovered, Germany’s inability to deal with its financial obligations led to a vacuum that was filled by the Nazis. Without immediate government action, America’s debt will also become unsustainable, crowding out vital services and creating societal instability similar to Weimar Germany. Given that America has the most powerful military the world has known, will America be an exception to 6,000 years of recorded history, or will our society fall prey to the severities that initiated the last world war?

The answer rests with our MNCs. They have historically persuaded our government to use America’s military to meet business objectives. And now for the first time in history, MNCs have the power to determine the path of our “empire’s” transition. If our corporations are unable to mitigate country risks by growing beyond the regulation of most countries (many are not far from that now) they will continue to rely on the might of our military. If our MNCs position themselves to succeed even as America fails, they will decide war is not in their best interests.

If enough MNCs make the leap to disavow an American connection and choose to forego the protection of our military’s gunboat diplomacy, our MNCs will support the gradual dismembering of our military, reducing its capability to strike. Given America’s inability to continue funding our military as our businesses depart, some Americans may choose to rise up similarly to Japan or Germany during the 20th century. How do we mitigate such a potential? A tariff or subsidy program could achieve full employment at sustenance wages, and could deter or delay war.

When citizens of our nation are unemployed, they have several options. For 26 weeks, they have unemployment at a rate much lower than full wages. During this Great Recession, our government extended unemployment to 99 weeks. After 99 weeks, the unemployed join the ranks of the 99ers, who are given few comforts from the American system if they are not disabled or do not have children. Instead, those without family members to rely upon or without black market skills or goods to eke out an alternative living, must join the world of the unseen, those citizens who blend into our peripheral vision not to be looked upon for fear that we too will be drawn to their fate. Our country’s lack of a comprehensive strategy to transition to globalization has condemned millions of vital Americans to this murky existence.

Rather than relegate 99ers to the dark crevices of our society, America must offer a better path. We must choose to overcome partisan maneuvering and compete with the world as best we can. Rather than continue down this political path that will lead ultimately to class warfare and further disintegration of American culture, capabilities, and competitiveness, we must recreate a consortium of capitalists and workers that benefits all Americans.

A cornerstone of that consortium is that both businesses and workers must succeed. Tariffs on foreign goods that cost the American society more than the savings they provide to the American consumer are a method for producing mutual success. Tariffs provide American factories price controls to allow domestic jobs at rates that can replace extended unemployment. During periods of innovative growth and peak business cycles when higher wages are available, those businesses least able to compete will be lost to international competition but during periods of lower innovation or business troughs, Americans will keep jobs and foreign companies providing goods to America will be the first to lose employment.

Some say that tariffs gouge the American consumer, but that does not evaluate our citizens holistically. A consumer is also a tax payer, a worker, a provider, a parent, a partaker of the environment, and a member of a community. If the net holistic benefits to the American citizen are positive for a particular product or service, then that particular product or service should escape protectionism. However, we should determine how to redistribute the gross benefits and costs within our country to equitably share the benefits and social costs.

Others say that tariffs and subsidy protections would cause American businesses to become complacent and to lose their incentive to compete with the rest of the world. We continue to use this reasoning even as our structural unemployment continues to grow. However, for the 40,000 factories that have left our shores, American ingenuity has been unable to keep pace with even no complacency. American businesses will always have an incentive to improve productivity if they wish to compete in world markets regardless of subsidies or tariffs.

Still others say that tariffs perpetuate poor quality and operating practices. America did pass through a moment in time prior to globalization when we did not envision a world of emerging countries competing through quality and innovation. However, we will never return to that moment, except for the nostalgic pining of our elders remembering “better days”. Nonetheless, offsetting wage and regulation cost differentials with tariffs will not protect American businesses from foreign quality and innovative competition. We will forever more be compelled to compete.

Mitigating wage and regulation cost differentials will only slow the rapid drain of jobs, manufacturing, and national security protection of America. Those goods which are most able to provide win-win benefits to both America and her trading partners will be available in our markets at lower costs, others at similar costs. Net benefits to America will be much greater than this wholesale gutting of American value, jobs, and self worth. During times when accelerated American innovation thrusts Americans into higher wage jobs, more foreign products will be available at lower prices.

Tariffs are only one piece of a comprehensive strategy to protect America from a plunge into obscurity. However, given the realities of our politicians’ impotence in dealing with the onslaught of multinational corporations and international bankers, it is a critical first step that should be implemented immediately if we are to provide America time to catch up with China’s immense and effectively operationalized strategies. America’s current path is not healthy for America and ultimately will not be for our economic adversaries either. If war is an inevitable part of transition, then any actions taken to delay or deter war are critical. I deem strategic tariffs a support for jobs, a net benefit to America’s finances, and a mitigation to war.

Why Do Democrats and Republicans Play Childhood Games with America’s Future?

As young boys, growing up in Ohio, we spent many summer days playing “Smear the Queer”. We didn’t know the inappropriateness of the name of the game as young boys. We only knew it meant coming together in fields behind our suburban homes to blow off summer energy and to demonstrate each other’s bravado. The game consisted of one boy holding onto the football as long as possible by running to escape the others. Each boy would run with abandon in his chosen direction until the rest of the pack would catch up and dog pile him into the ground. Another kid would then capture the ball and run headlong in the opposite direction knowing that the crowd would soon pound him into the ground as well.

In this childhood game, there were no winners, no advancement of the ball to score for the team. There was only chest pounding, boyhood energy, and bull headed bravado. Because we were oblivious to the bigoted implication of the game’s name, we perhaps could have been forgiven in our 1960’s innocence of youth. However, America’s two political parties, claiming to be learned elite, continue this politically incorrect game with reckless abandon in the year 2011!

In the midst of an historic crisis that left 24% of our able workers sidelined from our economy, a crisis that may eliminate America as the leader of the free world and sentence us to a diminished future, our two parties have refused to be either a beacon of hope or a forum of reason. Instead, as each party has been given the opportunity to gain the support of all Americans, they have foolhardily run with abandon in the direction of self interest. Easily discerning their veiled motives that disregard most of America, our electorate has voted to quickly dogpile each party.

In 2008, after elections signaled America sought “change”, the country experienced a monetary crisis that impacted us all. Instead of rapidly revising agenda to lead us out of crisis, the Democrats lunged forward with wealth redistribution and universal healthcare, worthy goals for their party, but lacking acknowledgement of our country’s need to wage war.

Punishing blind loyalty to party, the Great Middle dogpiled the Democrats in 2010 and elected leaders who promised to get the country back on track. Instead, when the Republicans gained firm hold of the football, they giddily sprinted for the other side of the field toward their ideals of wealth protection, union destruction, defunding of Planned Parenthood and NPR, and cutting of entitlements.

The New York special election that gave a majority to Democrat Kathy Hochul in a Republican stronghold once again signaled the Great Middle piling on a party that irresponsibly misconstrued its mandate. Instead of advancing the Great Society in the absence of real economic growth, and instead reverting to trickle-down economics after having shipped 40,000 factories to China in the last decade, America wants critical leadership.

The Democrats are now beating their chest because they succeeded in mongering fear to protect Medicare from the likes of Paul Ryan. In the absence of leadership that calls for sacrifice from all Americans but that promises to not leave any of our brethren behind, this election signals that Democrats will likely get their turn to run like silly school children toward their camp in 2012.

But America cries out, “Where is our great leader?” Who will blaze a path forward that all can follow? Ask us to sacrifice for we must. Reduce our entitlements but put all able Americans back to work. Reduce government spending but divert it now into the private sector and transfer government jobs immediately into private domestic endeavors that can rebuild our future together. Call on multinational corporations to sacrifice for America’s future productivity. Divert dollars that continue to keep insolvent international investment banks afloat to keep America afloat. Put aside your silly boyhood games and lead.

A Politician, a Banker, and a Multinational Corporate CEO Walk into a Bar

We have a weird set of bedfellows running America. Without contemplating each other’s impact, our politicians, bankers, and multinational corporations (MNCs) nonetheless combine their efforts to make a mess of our country.

[ A politician, a banker, and a multinational corporate CEO walk into a bar. The politician closes down the bar for regulation violations and sends the crowd packing. On their way out the door, the patrons hand their wallets to the politician who gives them to the banker who lends them to the CEO who uses them to buy the bar and send it over to China. ]

Our politicians attempt to make our world brighter by passing regulations that add social costs of production to the cost of our local businesses’ products. Yet, they turn a blind eye to other nations’ lack of regulation that similarly pollutes the world while providing their industries a regulatory subsidy against American competition. MNCs then arbitrage lower foreign regulatory and labor costs to bring lower priced finished goods back to America for sale.

Rather than construct level playing fields, our politicians pander their votes to bankers and MNCs, providing one sided regulations and free trade legislation that subsequently reduces demand for American workers. Not deterred by America’s rising level of structural unemployment, they then pass extended unemployment benefits to pacify the electorate, refuse to raise taxes to cover the consequential damages, and instead ask the Fed to print money.

Our Federal Reserve has dutifully printed money for our politicians for decades knowing that one day it might have to print money for itself. That day came and the Fed helped itself to a whopping 2 trillion dollars of self help money creation. The Fed now stodgily claims that two trillion in quantitative easing will not affect the value of the dollar. Armed with economists to defend its actions, the Fed claims that the economy will grow as the result of QE 1 and 2, requiring more money for more transactions, that the Fed has means to reduce the growth in spending and tools to offset an expansionary increase if necessary, that because of heightened instability in the world market, QE 1 and 2 are being held abroad as reserve assets and thus will not impact price levels, and that it can easily remove any excess supply of money if its QE efforts have overshot.

[ In that same bar sat an Indian, a Chinese National and a West African sipping economic Coca Colas, as was their usual custom. To keep their economy colas cooled from unexpectedly overheating every time the Fed ran into the bar with a teapot of steaming hot water and forced them to take a shot of inflationary devaluation, they kept a few ice cubes of reserve currency on hand. This day, however, was different.

The Fed drove up to the bar in a dump truck filled with steaming hot quantitative easing, forced the three countrymen to place their colas at the rear of the truck, quickly lifted its bed with its sloshing steamy payload directly above the little glasses, opened up the back gate and drowned the colas with a two trillion ton tsunami of worldwide, commodity buying, inflationary steamy hot dollars. The Fed’s two remaining economists who, up to now, were willing to sit publicly in the bar looked sheepishly at each other before quietly removing themselves out the back exit.

An American businessman sat in the bar cheering on the Fed’s hubbub as he chatted with a local barber and a Tunisian barber. He shouted to the two barbers, “Now America will bring back our factories and compete with the world.” He hoped the Fed’s action would devalue the dollar enough that America’s businesses could afford to add value through American labor to globally priced commodities and resell the finished products competitively on the world market.

The Tunisian barber leaned over and quipped to the American barber, “Yes, now you too can come home from cutting hair all day, tend to your chickens and till your garden into the night to feed your family.” Overhearing the Tunisian’s comment, the American businessman wondered if the dollar value actually decreased enough to make American factories competitive, that it perhaps might not be such a good thing for American barber he had just befriended.

The American barber smiled to the businessman and the Tunisian, got up and left the bar in his automobile filled with metals, plastics, rare earth, and oil derivatives, drove to his home beaming with wood, copper, metal appliances, and internet streamed CRTs, cooled by combusted hydrocarbons, reached into his refrigerator and pulled out a relative feast of supermarket distributed, oil grown food commodities for his snack. All the while he was unaware of the coming “QE 1,2,3..n” commodities inflation that would level his playing field down to that of his Tunisian bar buddy. ]

God Save Us from the Fish Mongers – An Allegory

A small, tropical isle fishing village sits across an inlet from a much larger fishing village to the east. Both villages want for little, spending their days either fishing or taking leisure. The western villagers choose to fish in deep-water, prime fishing grounds where catches are ample and large. They have much leisure, for long ago a western family learned to use the woodlands of their island to produce boats. The eastern villagers, lacking boat building skills, are forced however to cast long hours along their shores for smaller inlet fish. The boat building family enjoys even more leisure than most because their skills provide access to the deep waters so their villagers give them a bit of fish from every catch.

Desiring vessels for their people, eastern village elders approach the boat builders with head gear in hand, explaining that they will provide twice the fish of the western villagers if the boat builders will also supply them with boats. With such an agreeable offer, the boat building family begins to supply boats to the eastern village, and soon eastern villagers can be seen venturing out into the deep for fish.

Flush with fish from the easterners, the boat builders craft an idea. They will trade their excess to westerners in exchange for a return of fish later. To entice their villagers, they will agree to give more fish today than will have to be returned later. Westerners find the offer irresistible because they can enjoy leisure now knowing that some day when they must repay the debt, they will work fewer hours than the hours of leisure they gain today.

Having an abundance of both leisure and fish but now lusting for more, the boat builders unwittingly cast aside their future and that of their island as they craft another idea. They will teach eastern islanders the secrets their forefathers gave them about boat building in exchange for a bit of fish from every catch of the boats the easterners build. Yearning to harvest more of the deep waters, easterners agree to the terms. As the ambitious easterners flood the fishing fields with boats, the western boat building family’s fortunes become titanic.

Mongers now flood the shores with fish from the east, eventually causing a fourth of the western villagers to sit idly by, borrowing from the boat builder’s excesses. Without a need to fish, they slowly lose their knowledge of the seas, and without a need to venture into the deep their boats fall into disrepair. The western village elders, who had survived by taking a bit of fish from every villager as payment for administering the village, now find that with many of their villagers idly living on the fish of the easterners, that they cannot skim enough catch from their villagers to live.

They approach the uberwealthy boat building family for solutions. Lobbying that loans of fish to the idle westerners is good for the westerners because they are receiving more fish today than they will have to repay, the family also quietly agrees to supply ample fish to the elders in exchange for support of continuing eastern trades. Having provided the elders fish that can no longer be obtained from the villagers, the family feels justified in crafting yet another idea. They will give fish to eastern villagers so that they can stop fishing and build even more boats in the east that will return a bit of fish from every catch.

The eastern villagers now control the deep fishing fields and begin to weary of trading fish to the westerners, who must rely on eastern fish, as their boats are no longer sailable. With even more villagers sitting out the long hot days in their huts, western elders grow ever hungrier, so with head gear in hand they travel in weather worn boats to the eastern shore and meet with the eastern village elders by the campfire. Emboldened by their newfound wealth, the eastern elders chide the western elders for their lack of foresight but agree to provide fish in exchange for the promise that the western elders will demand a skim of their villagers’ fish to repay the easterners.

For awhile, this uneasy arrangement continues between the western villagers, their elders, the eastern villagers and the family of boat builders until the eastern village bulges with boats. No longer needing the skills of the boat builders, the eastern village does not desire to give another fish to the westerners but instead demands the western village return the fish they borrowed.

Without the skills or boats to repay their debt, the western villagers look aghast as their elders call them to the camp fire. They no longer can sit by the shore gorging on borrowed fish, nor can they linger leisurely. They must now work long hours catching inlet fish to repay the eastern village. Their previous agreement to pay for earlier leisure with less work hours today was unfortunately sold off by the boat builders. For now, the westerners have no boats to venture into the deep and their labor will be spent casting from the shores. This tranquil village in paradise has unwittingly indentured its future to the easterners.

The family of boat builders, attempting to revive its lost fortunes, now sheepheadishly offers to build boats for the western villagers, but their offer is rebuffed. The easterners are now the preeminent boat builders and one by one, the villagers must meekly travel to the east with head gear in hand, hoping to acquire boats today in exchange for a bit of fish from every catch.

So….Why were the villagers allowed to borrow fish that they could never pay back? Why were the boat builders allowed to give the secrets of the island to the easterners, not only giving away their claims to the island’s boats of survival but the rights to the deep fishing fields that were not theirs to give? Why were elders allowed to borrow from the easterners while so many villagers sat idly? Why did the villagers not see that their elders would yield to the boat builders as a means of their own survival? Why didn’t the western village foresee that letting their skills and boats diminish was unsustainable for their island’s survival? Why didn’t they understand that by borrowing leisure, they would end up fishing for scrub fish along the inlet shore? Why?

Is America Prepared for Kamikaze Finance?

Brett Arends, in his April 25th Marketwatch article entitled “IMF Bombshell: Age of America Nears End”  reports that the IMF has predicted 2016 as the year when China’s economy overtakes that of the United States.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/imf-bombshell-age-of-america-about-to-end-2011-04-25

Perhaps the word bombshell is the right allusion.  What comes to mind is America’s shock and disbelief in 1941 that the Japanese could fly formations of attack aircraft for so long under the radar right above sea level to destroy Pearl Harbor.  Just as Americans were unprepared to foresee the stealth attack of Japan even after years of her militaristic advances, Americans have stood helplessly by as the armaments of American financial defense sit helplessly in Congressional harbors of polarized politics.

Two concepts of financial attack seem reasonable afterthoughts.  First is that exponential financial expansion is hidden from radar until the last few years of growth.  American appeasers failed to recognize that as China expanded it’s economy 10 percent per year for 30 years, the law of exponential growth meant China’s economy would grow 800 percent in thirty years, but that the  greatest 400% would occur in the last seven years.  

The second even more ingenious stealth move unforeseen by America but creating an even more shocking surprise attack is that by holding the exchange rate low for so many years, the Chinese were able to fly even lower to the ocean swells and build a purchase power parity empire undetected by conventional financial defenses.

In preparation for this two pronged financial assault,  China has been building the hegemonic relationships that thwarted Japan’s  military attempt to over take the United States just 6 decades ago.   China also was successful in its hegemonic strategy to preemptively gut American factories through the “treasonous”  collaboration of multinational corporations and international banks residing  in financial cells right here in America.  

Our American factories, that were so successful in mounting a war of attrition against the Japanese in WWII, now lay dormant in the rust belt as 24 percent of our capable American workers line the “soup kitchens” of the American social welfare system and charitable organization’s generosity.  This time around, without the physical and financial capabilities to defend ourselves from within, it may be Americans who are forced to display patriotism through financial kamikaze during the end stages of the American empire.

How Could America Have Squandered the Gold of Ancient Egypt and the Incas?

Gold has been the store of human endeavor since ancient times. While each ounce of gold can hold only a finite amount of labor, perhaps 1,000 hours in non-industrialized nations, some of the gold locked in Fort Knox has touched millions of hours of labor from civilizations untold. For gold’s greatest benefit, as with all money, is not its storage of value but its lasting ability to temporarily hold value in the exchange of non-coincidental barters.

For millenniums, money was the interchange commodity for simple trades as between farmers and herders. The farmer gave the herder a coin in winter for meat, and the herder returned the coin at harvest time for a bushel of vegetables. Farmers and herders relied on the value of gold because precious metals took effort to mine and purify, were tested for weight and purity, and could be stamped, coined and carried. With such a universal appeal, precious metals became synonymous with storage of value and dominated the world’s choice for money.

At one point, America held within its coffers 70% of all the gold that has ever been purified from ancient Egypt and the Incas through modern times. But it was our misjudgment as to the true value of gold that robbed our forts of ingots and brought America to the precipice of ruin. As history’s greatest superpower, why did America not learn from ancient empires that tumbled down the path to insignificance, and why did we allow our government to amass more debt than has ever been owed by every other soul that has ever lived?

1964 marked an accelerating turning point in America’s misfortunes. In 1964, President Johnson was elected to enact Great Society reforms just as America was increasing her involvement in Viet Nam. Baby boomers were entering the work force just as multinational corporations were beginning an upsurge of direct foreign investment and the transfer of jobs to overseas markets. America’s use of oil was peaking just as political undercurrents were coalescing around oil as a geopolitical force.

Six simultaneous assaults on the American dollar joined to fuel the American financial malaise; a lack of fiscal adherence to a gold standard, military excursions in support of American interests, funding of the great society, a lack of will to respond to oil cartels, multinational corporate indifference to the plight of the American worker, and a financial industry gone wild.

America did not Steward Its Gold

Even though, for 600 decades of recorded history, gold was the stable base of transactions, the world has temporarily abandoned this gold standard for the last 5 decades. Our abandonment was not because of the world’s enlightenment that gold is an unnecessary physical impediment to the electronic age of finance. It is because, with no viable alternative, the world has clung to the hollowed out American dollar that inflated beyond the discipline of the gold standard.

In the 20th century, industrialized nations twice attempted to redistribute wealth through great wars that left all of Europe bankrupt. Afterward, America held 70 percent of the world’s processed gold, and became through Bretton Woods the gold-backed, paper money guarantor of the free world. During the next 15 years, America squandered her gold to cover currency imbalances, until by 1960 the dollar lost its legitimacy. Interestingly, it took Spain over a hundred years to squander its 20,000 tons of Inca gold.

From 1971 until now, America and the rest of the world have had little choice but to allow our currencies to float, giving up the imperfect discipline imposed by a gold standard. As a result of America’s freewheeling monetary policies, it is now encumbered by a spend drunk Congress and an obliging central bank that have conspired to reduce the value of America’s 1971 fiat dollar to a mere 17 cents today.

Scholars suggest that the reason for the dollar’s fall was the inevitable Triffin dilemma which requires America to carry a current account deficit to provide the world with reserve currency. Yet debt financed trade imbalances are not required to provide reserves. Reserves could just as well have been sold to other countries as given to them through trade shortfalls. No, America’s post war monetary policies quickly gambled away the historical hegemony that was bestowed on us at the end of two world wars.

This five decade hiatus from a gold standard will prove only temporary. Gold’s appeal as the engine of financial growth has not been lost on China. At the end of World War II, U.S. gold reserve was over 18,000 tons but has since reduced to 8,000 tons. China is executing a strategy of purchasing approximately 250 tons per year and, as the world’s largest producer of gold, producing 320 tons per year, and now has surpassed all but the U.S. as the second largest holder of gold with 2,000 tons.

Military Excursions Drained America’s Coffers

Without the ability to borrow vast moneys, earlier civilizations relied on warring, exploration and conquest to quickly expand their stores of gold. This strategy was not without consequences. To fund war, Rome engaged in coin clipping and smelting with lesser metals to reduce size and value of denarius in attempts to pay soldiers with coins of veiled value. After 200 years, the Roman denarius reduced from 100 percent silver to only 5 percent just prior its army leaving Rome unprotected from invasions and fall. Interestingly, it has taken less than 100 years for America’s dollar value to plunge that amount.

As all empires have before, America found that its wars must be financed with inflation. The Fed supported an excessive expansion of the money supply (dollar clipping), creating debt to fund each of America’s wars. The Civil War added 2.8 billion. WWI added another 21 billion. WWII created another $216 billion. The Korean War was financed with taxes. Viet Nam increased the debt $146 billion. Cold war expenditures cost 1.6 trillion. The first Gulf War cost a mere $7 billion. In contrast, Iraq cost $786 billion and Afghanistan cost $397 billion. Not including the 700 foreign soil U.S. military bases that contribute greatly to America’s balance of payments deficit, her major wars added a total of $3.4 trillion dollars of carried debt.

The Great Society Became the Broke Society

President Johnson outlined The Great Society in his State of the Union Speech on January 4, 1965, saying “The great society asks not how much, but how good; not only how to create wealth but how to use it.” Notwithstanding the good that was done by these programs, they drained America’s future potential GDP growth and the money that would fuel her economic engine.

46 years later, Great Society initiatives touched education, health, urban renewal, transportation, arts and culture, Medicare and Medicaid, the Food Stamp program, Project Head Start, The National Endowment for the Arts, The Corporation for Public Broadcasting and federal aid to public education for a total expenditure of $9.5 trillion dollars.

America’s Addiction to Oil Made Us Slaves to the Oil Cartel

Oil enabled powerful nations to create a world order that flowed money from agrarian nations to those that controlled hydrocarbon powered machines. Oil was the catalyst that propelled the 20th century’s world leaders into fortune and thrust the world into war. Oil is a finite fuel, controlled by a few nations that are barely separated geopolitically and have common ancient civilizations and modern goals.

Already struggling from Viet Nam and Great Society debts, America found herself the object of a politically motivated oil embargo in 1973. Fuel prices soared and supplies tightened to cause the 70’s stagflation in America. From then until now, America has not found the political will through fluctuating fuel prices to organize an intervention away from oil dependence.

Since the embargo, America has consumed 250 billion barrels of oil at a total cost of $11 trillion dollars. This debit line in our national budget has only one trade, oil for dollars. Had America given our energy war a smidgeon of the effort of placing a man on the moon, we could have easily reduced energy consumption by 20 percent for the same productive output, transportation, and environmental comfort, and saved 2.2 trillion dollars. Surely, the costs to achieve such a modest conservation would have to be netted from the gross, but those costs could have been internally generated and added to America’s GDP.

America’s Multinational Corporations (MNC) were Indifferent Citizens

While America fought the war on poverty, her political leaders surrendered to the war on American jobs. Certainly, with the relative world peace supported by America’s military, globalization was bound to occur. With the risk of direct foreign investments reduced, the last five decades have unleashed an acceleration of money flow and intellectual capital from America to other countries.

While over 4 trillion dollars have been invested overseas by American uberwealthy, America has also been a receiver of investment, so that the net outflow has only been 0.7 trillion. However, the loss of America’s wealth and jobs has been much greater, contributing to a stagnant workforce where one in four able Americans has been idled. MNC direct foreign investment has indirectly added $4 trillion dollars to America’s debt.

The Fed Financed MNCs and Saved Banks but Failed to Keep America Employed

During most of the 17th century, Europe embroiled itself in wars that killed 30% of its population. Some of the world’s largest banking houses failed as royal debtors defaulted, including England in1672. Finally, in 1694, the king agreed to give the Bank of England authority to print all of England’s bank notes in exchange for bank loans to support his war with France. The newly created Central bank, having transferred its risk of loss to British subjects, profited simply by printing money for the monarchy. However, this excess printing did not stop the emptying of England’s coffers.

After America revolted to escape the monetary control of the Bank of England, Hamilton, the United States’ Secretary of the treasury, proposed a charter to a create a similar central bank for America. Against Thomas Jefferson’s insistence, the First Bank of the United States became the precursor to America’s Federal Reserve. Some say major banks manufactured a bank run in 1907 to destabilize the Treasury and instigate support for the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 establishing the Fed, a quasi-agency, private enterprise with a quasi-public board.

From the establishment of the Fed until today, many have argued that major Fed decisions have enriched banks at the expense of the American People. An example is the erroneous decision the Fed made to keep interest rates high for an extensive period of time as America and the World clearly were entering the Great Depression. Also of heated debate was the decision to bail out the banking industry at the start of the Great Recession.

Nonetheless, Fed decisions combined with lobbied efforts to reduce financial regulations, allowed Wall Street to orchestrate multiple financial bubbles that consecutively destroyed value in American portfolios. It cost taxpayers $88 billion to bail out the S&L crisis. The boiling and bursting of the dot.com bubble evaporated $5 trillion dollars. Notwithstanding that the credit default bubble lost the world $30 trillion in value, it has thus far cost America $51 billion in bank bailouts, $787 billion in stimulus, $1.5 trillion in quantitative easing, $5 trillion in lost property values, and with over 5 million bankruptcies and 5 million foreclosures, ruined trillions of dollars worth of wealth generating credit.

In Conclusion

Adding up the numbers versus our $15 trillion dollar debt, it is amazing that the resiliency of the American economy is thus far holding ground:

10,000 tons of gold: $0.5 trillion
Wars: $3.4 trillion
Great Society: $9.5 trillion
Lack of Energy Policy $2.2 trillion
MNC DFI: $4.0 trillion
Banking Debacles: $12.4 trillion +
Total $32.0 trillion

The idea of currencies unsupported by gold reserves is not in itself troublesome. Whether Crowley shells, tally sticks, or paper money, if the market has trust in its role as a place holder for non-incidental barter, any money will do. However without the external discipline imposed by a gold standard, America must instead substitute gold’s imposition for a President strong enough to stand for American sovereignty, a Fed subjugated to defend a stable currency, a Congress selfless enough to impose its own financial discipline, and a willingness of American businesses to defend American jobs. Otherwise, America’s five decade reign over this short lived worldwide fiat money dollar system will come to an end.

Unemployed 99er Population Rises Dramatically in March

As reported in The “Real” Long-term Unemployment Report. from the blog http://www.layofflist.org

The March Employment Report was again pumped as another victory in the war against unemployment. But for millions of long-term unemployed, it’s still a brutal battle to find work. That’s why it’s unfortunate that most main stream media outlets and politicos seem incapable of understanding, or chose to ignore the “real” unemployment numbers.

The BLS reported that unemployment (U3) for March was 8.8%, which is a slight improvement from February’s 8.9%. 216,000 jobs were created, but that’s a relatively small monthly number of jobs for what is supposedly a strong economic recovery from the Great Recession. In comparison, during the 2004 economic recovery, 338,000 jobs were created in March.

The Obama administration and media mouthpieces seem preoccupied with the U3, 8.8% measure of unemployment, but you need to dig into the numbers to reveal the “real” state of unemployment.

A disconnected news media conveniently forgets to mention that the US needs to create about 125,000 jobs a month to simply keep up with new entrants to the workforce. If you subtract 125,000 from 216,000 jobs created in March, you end up with 91,000 “extra” jobs for 13.5 million unemployed.

Underemployment remained quite high at 15.7%, or 8.2 million workers who want full-time work, but are forced to work part-time jobs of 34 hours a week or less. Yes, full-time work is considered 35 hours or more per week, although many “real world” workers consider jobs of less than 40 hours a week as part-time.

But what was most striking about the March jobs report was the continuing increase in the number of long-term unemployed. According to the BLS, March showed 1,899,000 workers who have been out of work for 99 weeks or more, an increase of 127,000 from February. The real 99er population is growing quickly and shows no signs of abating.

NELP estimates (PDF) that “throughout 2010, 3.9 million unemployed workers exhausted all of their unemployment benefits without finding new work.” Exhausting unemployment benefits also includes those unemployed that exhausted benefits after 60, 73, 79, or 93 weeks, so NELP’s estimate is larger than the BLS estimate for those out of work 99 weeks or more.

Not only are more unemployed out of work 99 weeks or longer, but those out of work 52 and 27 weeks or more are increasing as well. Those out of work 27 weeks or more now accounts for a record 45.5% (6.14 million) of all unemployed, while for those out of work 52 weeks or more the rate is 31.5% (4.25 million) of all unemployed; again a record high.

The participation rate is another employment issue rarely discussed on the national media stage. According to the BLS, “the participation rate is the share of the population 16 years and older working or seeking work.”

The labor force participation rate was unchanged, 64.2%, the same as the previous two months. This is the lowest labor participation rate since March 1984.

The March Employment Report showed some job gains, but not nearly enough jobs were created to put a dent in the long-term unemployment problem. Media talking heads and politicians looking for 2012 votes touted the March jobs report as a winner, but it was a loser for millions of increasingly desperate long-term unemployed who are struggling without jobs or unemployment benefits. Let’s not hang those “Mission Accomplished” banners just yet…

Gallup Finds U.S. Unemployment at 10.2% in Mid-March, Underemployment was also Unchanged from the end of February, at 19.9%

REPRINT FROM GALLOP

March 17, 2011
by Dennis Jacobe, Chief Economist
PRINCETON, NJ

— Unemployment, as measured by Gallup without seasonal adjustment, was at 10.2% in mid-March — essentially the same as the 10.3% at the end of February but higher than the 10.0% of mid-February and the 9.8% at the end of January. The U.S. unemployment rate is about the same today as the 10.3% rate Gallup found in mid-March a year ago.

The percentage of part-time workers who want full-time work was 9.7% in mid-March — essentially unchanged from the 9.6% in both February measurements and higher than the 9.1% at the end of January. The percentage of the U.S. workforce that is working part time but wanting full-time work is the same now as was the case a year ago.

Broader Underemployment Was Unchanged in Mid-March

Underemployment, a measure that combines the percentage of part-time workers wanting full-time work with the percentage who are unemployed, was 19.9% in mid-March. Not surprisingly given the lack of change in its components, this is identical to the end-of-February reading, and is virtually the same as the 20.0% of mid-March a year ago.

Jobs Situation About the Same as It Was a Year Ago

The government’s February report on the U.S. unemployment situation suggests that 192,000 jobs were created last month and the unemployment rate declined to 8.9%, down from 9.7% a year ago. Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley and others said they were encouraged by this report.

However, Gallup’s unemployment and underemployment measures have not shown the same gains in early 2011. Gallup finds an unemployment rate (10.2%) and an underemployment rate (19.9%) for mid-March that are essentially the same as those from mid-March 2010.

In part, the difference between Gallup’s and the government’s current job market assessments may be due to the government’s seasonal adjustments. Gallup’s U.S. unemployment rate is also more up-to-date — its mid-March data include jobless figures for much of March, whereas the government’s latest unemployment rate is based on the jobs situation in mid-February.

Most importantly, a key reason the government’s unemployment rate is dropping apparently has to do with the so-called participation rate: the percentage of Americans who are counted as being in the workforce. The government’s participation rate in February was at its lowest level since 1984. In essence, this tends to suggest that the government’s unemployment rate may be declining because many people are becoming discouraged and leaving the workforce — not because they are getting new jobs.

If this is the case, then neither Gallup’s unemployment report nor that provided by the government is good news for the economy. It is equally bad news if people are out of work and looking for a job or just too discouraged to say they continue to do so. Either way, a lack of sufficient job creation to increase employment among those who want to work remains a major obstacle to U.S. economic growth in the months ahead.